Run Line Value: MLB Teams Beating the -1.5 Spread

The MLB run line (-1.5) is the baseball equivalent of the point spread, and early-season data shows some clear value plays. Teams with dominant starting pitching rotations are covering the run line at higher rates, particularly when pitching at home. The Braves lead all teams with a 5-1 ATS record through the opening week. We analyze which pitching matchups give you the best shot at covering the 1.5-run spread.